Opinionista
Ivo Vegter
Break the banking cartel

There is one law that, if changed, could revolutionise commerce in South Africa. Thing is, it isn't in the government's interest to change it.

In a free country, a government can only exercise such powers as are granted to it by the citizens. But there's a problem. Once ceded, it is very hard to reclaim those powers. Governments aren't too keen to give them up.

It is not surprising to note that most of a parliament's work is in writing new law, as opposed to repealing old law. The only repeals you tend to see are laws that are superceded by updated (and expanded) versions. The result is ever growing government, becoming ever more costly and interposing themselves ever more in the citizen's personal and economic lives.

One of the most insidious powers ever ceded to governments was the power to print money.

Historically, banks issued money. They did so in the form of exchangeable depository receipts for assets (usually gold or silver). They then granted loans with the assets on deposit as collateral. This further increased the supply of currency to the market.

The credibility and value of any one currency was determined by the issuing bank's reputation in the market, the faith depositors had in it, and the value and integrity of the assets against which the currency was issued.

It worked like this until roughly a century ago. The currency was created by the market as a means of exchange, and the amount in circulation would depend entirely on the needs of the market. If governments wanted to do something, they had to obtain consent from the representatives of the people to raise tax for it. They could not spend what they didn't earn in revenue.

However, governments always wanted to spend more than they could raise in tax. Wars, and the occasional bank failure, gave them a good excuse to create this ability for themselves. The result was the concept of the central bank. It has monopoly control over the price of credit, or, interchangeably, the amount of money in circulation. In essence, a government could raise revenue simply by printing money. This deliberate "inflationary monetary policy", had the effect of devaluing the currency in circulation, as well as deflating government debt. So, deficit spending became possible.

John Maynard Keynes formalised this principle during Franklin D. Roosevelt's New Deal era, which was an extreme case of deficit spending mirrored later by programmes such as the Great Society of Lyndon B Johnson (which resulted in the stagflation of the 1970s), and the stimulus programmes started by George W Bush and enthusiastically expanded by Barack Obama (which will result in the stagflation of the next decade or two).

That deficit spending doesn't work, and usually just primes the market for the next big boom and bust, is usually explained away by saying that things would have been even worse without the counter-cyclical spending of the government.

The reality, however, is that the government's policy doesn't ameliorate booms and busts, but causes them. Throughout the 19th century, there was no real inflation. A dollar minted in the year 1800 bought pretty much the same as a dollar minted in 1900. During the 20th century, however, the dollar began to depreciate, consumer prices skyrocketed, and bubbles with their subsequent crashes became not only more common, but synchronised throughout the economy.

Of course, people aren't suckers, and they'd quickly flee a depreciating currency for one that held its value better – such as paper issued by a reputable institution, or gold, for example. To prevent this, governments passed "legal tender" laws, which require one to accept the state's mandated currency in settlement of debts. Retaining monopoly control over the currency is today a paranoid article of faith for central banks and governments.

Last weekend, I presented this at GeekRetreat, a gathering of technology entrepreneurs, educators, venture capitalists, and journalists held in the picturesque surroundings of Stanford in the Western Cape.

Most everyone grasped the notion intuitively, although a few expressed surprise that you seldom hear this argument. That might be because governments, central banks, banks and economists all have vested interests. Government's spending ability relies on the ability to print money. Central banks are mandated to protect the currency. Banks quite enjoy the monopoly they have on an essential service, which permits them to gouge customers for all they're worth. Economists are fed a diet of Keynes at university, and fattening governments that need their data can't hurt.

This is why the SA Reserve Bank is implacably opposed to relaxing deposit-taking laws, which permits only licenced and regulated banks to accept deposits, repayable upon demand.

The Bank's justification is that this protects depositors, and anyway, because you wouldn't trust a telco or a shopping mall with your money, it should be illegal to place it with them.

In truth, regulation does little to protect depositors. Deposit insurance might, but ask anyone who suffered from the collapses of Lehman Brothers, Saambou, Regal Bank, or the Icelandic banks, if their banking regulations served them well.

Besides, if you didn't trust your telco, would you buy pre-paid airtime? You're betting that the telco will be around long enough to make good on its debt, in services. Would you buy a gift voucher from a mall, if you thought the mall would go under before you could spend it? What difference does it make whether the value is repayable in goods or cash? And why outlaw something that the central bank says you wouldn't do anyway?

The real reason there's such a restriction on deposit-taking, is that the central bank is terrified of the rise of alternative currencies. It fears we'd all trade in US dollars using Paypal, airtime minutes issued by a telco, or moola issued by MXit. While the fear is probably overblown (Paypal didn't kill the dollar; the government did), the effect of this restriction is severe.

The restriction on deposit-taking hampers innovation that would make electronic transactions available to the half of South Africa that is currently unbanked. It restricts it to bank-backed solutions. This is why we cannot get cash back out of Paypal to enable sales to foreigners: it doesn't have an alliance with a local bank that would be under Reserve Bank control. This is why airtime, although used as a currency, can never be redeemed for cash.

In Kenya, the M-PESA system, which is telco-led, has been a raging success, and has done more to extend commerce to the poorest sectors of society than any bank ever did. In South Africa, mobile phones – unlike banks or fixed internet access – cover an estimated 75% of the population. It had to shatter some barriers around deposit-taking, but luckily, it managed to survive legal challenges from jealous banks.

It is true that banks are slowly introducing partial solutions to this problem. An example is FNB's mobile banking solution, which works with even the lowliest cellphone, and through which three times more money is transacted than through ATMs and internet banking combined. It is splendid, but it doesn't go far enough. Another is ABSA's CashSend service, which requires a bank account only on the part of the sender. That's one banked customer too many, and works only within the country.

It may be possible for smaller banks, such as Old Mutual or Capitec, to launch innovative, lower-cost, competitive products. But they also have yet to make a big dent in the 50% of South Africans that remains unbanked. And while agile new companies such as Pocit or Wizzit are promising and worth supporting, they need to be allied with a bank to achieve anything truly meaningful.

Mohammad Yusuf, the Nobel-winning founder of Grameen Bank, puts it thus: "The point I try to make to the policy makers is that banking laws are like the architecture of a supertanker that needs to go out to the deepest parts of the ocean. Banking the unbanked requires new institutions that are like a dinghy in shallow waters: they don't need as much support and they need a totally different architecture. Unless these policies are created to help, we will never reach the people we need to. You need the backing of the system in order to succeed."

When someone starts a small business in the informal sector, or one aimed at a small but international customer base, are they likely to have a registered company, or qualify for a costly credit-card merchant account? Hardly. Yet this is where economic growth begins. It doesn't begin in the formal sector, among privileged entrepreneurs with business plans and venture capital and a media profile.

Our own Minister of Trade & Industry, Rob Davies, admits to the shortcomings: "The formal banking sector in this country is not designed to fulfil this role [of banking the unbanked in a largely informal environment]. Our banking laws are extremely conservative."

He added, however, that government would be looking at all regulatory constraints.

If he seeks innovation, it will have to come from companies that are specifically built to reach the poor, the rural, the informal, the second economy.

The key regulatory constraint that prevents this is the restriction on deposit-taking by non-banks. There are others, but this one law makes it outright illegal to create a fully-functional payment system, for anyone other than banks. The very same banks who have proved incapable of addressing rich and poor, banked and unbanked, local and foreign, big and small, urban and rural.

Granted, it might be a bridge too far to expect the government to give up the right to print money whenever it sees a pretty new power station or a cool new warship, or some vote-buying boondoggle.

So let's concede some regulations. Limit the size of transactions or deposit balances with non-banks to a useful, but small, amount. Think R10 000 or R20 000. Disallow fractional-reserve lending for non-banks. Require them to submit to regular audits. Impose rules to keep the tax-man and the money-laundering spooks in business.

But then let innovative firms compete to come up with a complete payment system for all South Africans. One that allows cash deposits, transfers and withdrawals of any size, local and foreign, and regardless of whether you're a big shot with your own company and a business account at a bank, a labourer seeking to remit wages to his rural home, or a rural woman making cute things for rich foreigners.

The ability to trade and grow prosperous requires the ability to freely transact and exchange money with anyone, anywhere. Until we have that, free trade and prosperity will remain the preserve of the rich and privileged.

That this is so by law is monstrous.

More by Ivo Vegter

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While this is certainly an thought provoking piece. I would like to point out that the quip about FNB cellphone banking processing more than 3 times more money than ATMS and Online Banking is utter rubbish. One can only wonder where you get this type of information from?
Thanks for raising this question, Mark. I got this information from the (former) CEO of FNB's M-commerce division, Len Pienaar, who on 4 November 2009 delivered a presentation to the ITWeb Mobile Payments conference, which I chaired. A screenshot of the slide in question can be found here: http://twitpic.com/ysd9w.

You'll note the absence of a y-axis, clearly intended to prevent the audience, which included most of the other banks, from reading absolute values off the chart. Previous slides had used value transacted as the yardstick. If this slide actually refers to transaction volume, and not transaction value, a clarification would be welcome. Either way, one can only estimate ratios or growth rates from charts lacking a y-scale. It seems to me that by September 2009, mobile banking accounted for roughly 2.6 times internet and ATM transactions combined. By extrapolation and rounding, I described the present ratio as "three times".
Thanks for the response Ivo. I can relate to graphs having no axis info. The graph you are referring to looks like it refers only to airtime being bought through the various channels and not payments or typical banking transactions.
If true, this would make the ratio somewhat less remarkable, I agree. However, I don't believe it would undermine the broader argument that the future, for transactions as well as other services, is mobile.
A brilliant and salient piece, Ivo.

I believe the single greatest point of harm caused by government controlling money supplies and legal tender is uncertainty. With markets cascading into crises every 5 - 10 years (an easily predictable symptom of Keynesianism), how is the individual, let alone massive consortiums, supposed to make time-preference and value-based assessments on where to allocate his or their respective capital? Government intervention forces people into speculation and short-term running because it's their only shot at getting a foot ahead of the regime.

I'm planning on sinking roots into the United States, but I am severely discouraged from doing this when I wonder how debased my phony fiat money will be, how devalued my property will be and how costly inflation will be on my cash holdings. Never mind that, at any moment, the government can swoop in with their armed thugs and take every piece of property I have away from me.

The truly sad situation is there isn't one nation in this world that doesn't participate in the Keynesian fiat delusion, so there is no place with "greater" certainty to seek out. Governments are turning our very basic conditions of existence into a game of roulette.
Private entities already have the power to "print" money/credits. It's called "issuing shares". These pieces of paper are backed by sweet FA besides a promise.
Right now the global derivatives bubble has a collective face value of around $700 Trillion, that's around 14 X Global GDP or $150K for every single man, woman and child on the planet.
If that's not artificially inflated wealth, the concept has no meaning and casts doubt on the idea that private companies tend to be any more responsible with issuing fiat money than public institutions.
The one advantage of having governments issue the medium of exchange is that the government is theoretically at least subject to scrutiny and censure by the people in democratic systems.
It might be hard for a fan of Ayn Rand to accept but there are actually many examples of good governments, persuing Keynesian and Socialist policies that function very well and where the citizens enjoy high standards of living and personal freedom.
That said, dispite the massively bloated banking and finance sector in SA there is obviously a massive shortage of liquidity amoung the poorer sectors of society. Locally issued currencies have enjoyed some success in stimulating local economies in the US and Europe and the concept is certainly not an Objectivist invention, so it's worth looking into.

"Private entities already have the power to "print" money/credits. It's called "issuing shares". These pieces of paper are backed by sweet FA besides a promise."

Absolute nonsense. When you purchase shares you are purchasing equity in the company. It's not the same as a government mandating what legal tender is and bestowing a monopoly on a central bank to generate fiat money.

"The one advantage of having governments issue the medium of exchange is that the government is theoretically at least subject to scrutiny and censure by the people in democratic systems. "

That's really ironic since you mention "artificial wealth" expansion just before that. Clearly government is doing a stand-up job of managing its fiat and spending... /sarc

Again, why is the medium of exchange somehow a special circumstance for the government to monopolize? Why can't people make the choice themselves and vote with their feet in terms of usage? Governments naturally want to spend money. Democratic "censure" does not preclude this, hence the financial mess the world is in.

"It might be hard for a fan of Ayn Rand to accept but there are actually many examples of good governments, persuing Keynesian and Socialist policies that function very well and where the citizens enjoy high standards of living and personal freedom."

Who here is a fan of Ayn Rand? Neither of us said anything of the sort. Where are these examples of "good governments" bestowing Keynesian and socialist nonsense? What counts as a "high standard of living?" No doubt access to lots of goods and services off the back of government spending is what you're inferring.

Please show us one example of a government pursuing these policies that is 1. not in debt 2. contracting its spending and 3. is economically viable for longer than a few decades. Here's a hint, there ain't one.
A share is a piece of paper. It is an item with no intrinsic value. One day a coke snorting yuppie trader will say it's worth X, the next day he will say it's worth Y. It all depends what he can persuade someone to pay for it. At any rate, they allow companies to create something of "value" out of nothing, now the core business for many companies.

There are practical exchange issues of having multiple currencies (I suppose computer networks could help the average consumer keep up with wildly fluctuating private money brands- But jeez, do I want to have to become a money trader on top of my day job just to make sure my Coke$, PepsiCreds, Pickn'Pounds and VodaBobs are still worth the same thing as they were yesterday? What a fuckn pain that would be.)Many less capable people -illitirate shack dwellers or the elderly say- would easily be overwhelmed and often ripped off. Perhaps some considering that argument would dispise weaker beings hindering them from achieving their rightful place as Titanic Masters of Creation, but then that's a price we pay for civilisation, eh?
Yes, you could "vote with your feet", but wouldn't it just be easier to have an honest government with transparent policies and accounts, that can be replaced - should the need arise- by non-violent democratic means? We do seem to have reached a low point globally when it comes to honest, dependable government but it is possible.

All in all I must mention I'm not against private currencies I just can't imagine why anyone would think they would be less prone to devaluation and inflation than public ones.

By "Socialist" I mean governments that intervene substancially more in the economy than run the police/army and courts. Take your pick. I nominate Finland.
Most economies are contracting now because of the dramatic downturn in world trade.Having socialist policies doesn't mean you don't have trading partners. (feck, even Pol Pot was exporting Cambodian rice!)
I don't think there has been any system that has been economically viable for decades since bible times, nothing works forever.

As for the Ayn Rand comments, if you read his previous posts you would know Ivo is a noted fan of hers.
If I recall correctly, I quoted Ayn Rand once, on a question of logic. Not sure how this makes me a "noted fan".

But then, you appear suspect that I am, or defend "Titanic Masters of Creation", who "dispise (sic) weaker beings", when the fact is that throughout this piece I repeatedly argue the interests not of the wealthy elite with bank accounts and credit cards, but of the unbanked, the poor, the rural, the informal sector, the second economy. I'm not convinced attempting to dismiss the argument simply by labelling me will stick.

As for your point: stock certificates would make a very poor currency. They do represent value, but they are not readily transferrable. They are subject to a mountain of regulation. They are based on complex underlying assets. Worse, those assets are unstable, both in value and in scarcity.

To your argument that multiple competing currencies would pose greater risk to the bearer, all I can say is that with government-printed paper money, you're guaranteed to lose. You might think the poor are too dumb (or busy) to track the value of their assets, but this is not only insulting, it is wrong. If the poor were so stupid, black markets in currency would not emerge in countries where citizens have lost faith in the fiat currency of the state. Witness the haggling for currency in Zimbabwe, Kenya or Turkey. Witness the barter trade that emerges when things get really ugly. Ordinary, uneducated, working-class people are perfectly well aware of the relative buying power of various currencies or commodities. They clearly desire to keep their wealth in a store that doesn't devalue over time, and vigorously act upon that desire, whenever possible, by trading to make it so.

Hoping for an honest government that would act responsibly with a fiat currency is nice, but that's like wishing a rapacious monopoly would just become kind and fair, instead of arguing for free market competition. It's pie in the sky. After 100 years of Keynesian deficit spending, why would politicians suddenly turn around and give up the power of patronage that fiat money gives them? Besides, even if they did, that still wouldn't solve the problem that our banking sector, like most, consists of a cartel of lumbering behemoths, none of whom have proven able to adequately cater for half of the population, even when they try.
Breaking the banking cartel? You would have to start with the Bank of International Settlements (BIS), the Central Bank of Central Banks, in Basel, Switzerland, of all places. All Central Banks within the global Central Banking system are accountable to this bank, not their respective governments.

The BIS determines reserve ratios and was directly responsible for the property market crash that Japan experienced in the 1990's. When the BIS pulls its strings, world markets quake. They determine how much money a country's Central Bank can make available for distribution, so all this talk of public accountability is simply wishful thinking.

One of the main goals of the BIS is to control all currency movements in the WHOLE world. Before this can happen you need a system without any loopholes. ALL Central Banks must adhere to BIS currency policies. Falling foul of these policies leads to ostracization in the global Central Banking community.

Prior to the being invaded, Iraq and Afghanistan did not have a Central Bank that was accountable to the BIS. They have Central Banks now. In fact, you can count on one hand the number of countries that do not have Central Banks which are held accountable to the BIS. Of particular interest are two countries that are receiving quite a bit of negative publicity in the international community: Iran, and North Korea. Strange that.

The BIS is busy plugging all the holes in the system. If this means engineering negative public perceptions of the deviant states, then so be it. If it means that wars must be fought, so be it. I am not saying that these rogue states were, or are, innocent of the crimes of which they have been accused. What I am saying is that it all boils down to a system of monetary control that will continue to enrich the few at the expense of the many, and trust me, when ALL the holes are plugged, we will be wondering how we gave everything away without even being remotely aware of it!

I tried to post another response the Benny Alberts but the comment feature wouldn't post it, possible due to its length. In any case, a quote from Ludwig von Mises will do to sum up his notions that statist domination over the money supply and the broader economy through fiat central banking and Keynesianism is a fallacy against freedom.

"A new type of superstition has got hold of peoples minds, the worship of the state. People demand the exercise of the methods of coercion and compulsion, of violence and threat. Woe to anybody who does not bend his knee to the fashionable idols!" - Omnipotent Government.
Don't we all hate government? Don't we all hate being told what to do?
Most of the time though, I spend far more time taking orders from private individuals than government ones. Sure, it's theoretically optional but in practice - seeing as I don't own property and need to trade my labour (steadily devaluing dispite my best efforts) for an income - I'll probably be submitting myself to someone's whims till the day I die.

Gareth- One thing I can assure you based on my fortuanately limited experience of poverty and deprivation is something I don't think you care to appreciete fully. The poor are far, far more afraid of individuals like yourself than they are of the government. They see the coercive power of the state/law as the only credible check on the sadistic or plain exploitive power bosses and the rich generally hold over them. (Yes, yes there are plenty of "nice"


Perhaps the best answer is gold. We need plastic sandwiched gold leaf or micro slivers. The main problem would be devising some way to ensure that the gold does not become debased in some way seeing as the easiest way to test at the moment is weight
THE PREVIOUS POST WAS INCOMPLETE AND ACCIDENTALLY POSTED _ only two cups of coffee and I’m twitching already!
Don't we all hate government? Don't we all hate being told what to do?
Most of the time though, I spend far more time taking orders from private individuals than government ones. Sure, it's theoretically optional but in practice - seeing as I don't own property and need to trade my labour (steadily devaluing despite my best efforts) for an income - I'll probably be submitting myself to someone's whims till the day I die.
Ivo- I have of course seen the money trading in Turkey/Zim. Every man-in-the-street type of comment I have heard tells me that the people who have to do these things think it’s a total pain in the ass. There are no figures to my knowledge tracking fraud and consumer attitudes in these contexts to my knowledge. I would be surprised if it turned out they like/prefer living this way.

Gareth- One thing I can assure you based on my fortunately limited experience of poverty and deprivation is something I don't think you care to appreciate fully. The poor are far, far more afraid of individuals like yourself than they are of the government. They see the coercive power of the state/law as the only credible check on the sadistic or plain exploitive power bosses and the rich generally hold over them. (Yes, yes there are plenty of "nice" bosses, but in SA these are often not an option). This is too complicated to sort out in this forum so I’ll just say you have your job cut out for you if you want to persuade the poor to drop the government idea.

Perhaps the best answer is gold. We need plastic sandwiched gold leaf or micro slivers. The main problem would be devising some way (a kind of micro scale scanner thingy?) to ensure that the gold does not become debased in some way seeing as the easiest way to test at the moment is weight.
A thought occurred to me Re; Talk Minutes as currency. Wouldn’t Moore’s law etc. steadily devalue it? Technological advances/increases in productivity would similarly affect any symbolic barter – if I can put it that way-. Not sure if this is a good or a bad thing. A bushel of wheat or a spade made ten years ago would be worth less than one made today even if they were made in exactly the same way. Should their symbolic equivalents be any different?
@Benny Alberts:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RWsx1X8PV_A
I agree, Darrell. Fixing the entire system will take the mother of all global treaties, or a powerful state to go rogue and return to the gold standard. But governments prefer power-enhancing PR exercises such as Copenhagen, and won't volunteer to give up monetary policy control, so I don't see this happening without another, even bigger, global financial collapse. (I'd hoped the last one would do the trick.)

In the mean time, surely we can swing a limited fix that removes the institutionalised underclass, excluded from global trade, that we have today?

@Benny: Ultimately, one needs a standard that is scarce and expensive to increase, hard to forge, easily divisible, universally recognisable and acceptable, and resistant to degradation. Metals such as gold are good approximations to this ideal. But the argument in this column goes much less far than demanding sound money that cannot be debased by the state. I argue merely that it should be possible for non-banks to accept deposits, and issue value tokens, or subsidiary currencies. This requires no change to the nature of the national currency. In fact, the concessions I offered are explicitly designed to safeguard the national currency, since this is what the central bank will demand. A return to the gold standard and/or the abolition of central banks will require a trigger rather more dramatic and forceful than merely a few million powerless people mired in poverty. All I ask for here is to permit non-banks to try develop transactional capabilities that aren't restricted to the banking cartel. Banks aren't designed to cater for the poor, the rural, the small-scale, the informal sectors.
Ivo, the depression we are busy pulling out of was engineered to create cataclysmic instability in the global markets, to the extent that only government bailouts would remedy the situation.

Who funds the government? The people! It's all very well for Obama to wave his magic wand and dish out billions of Dollars in bailout money - ultimately, someone is liable for the expenditure. Granted, without the bailout, the depression would have been far worse, to the point of rebellion. Every nation in the world is slipping deeper into a system that will enslave their children, holding them accountable for the mistakes of their forefathers. The powers that be create a situation which causes the people to panic. Then, when the people panic, they offer them a solution. At the end of the day, the "solution" is what we must avoid, at all costs.

The notion of returning to a specie-backed currency is what got Kennedy (and numerous other American presidents) assassinated. This limits "their" ability to create "false" debt.

I agree, unless a seriously powerful nation decides to "buck the system," we're screwed.

When people hear the name, "Rothschild", any argument automatically gets discarded as the ramblings of a conspiracy theorist. BUT, I am going to mention that the Bank of China pulled out of a deal with the Rothschild Bank that would have seen both parties gaining exposure to their respective markets. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to understand that China has the biggest market in the world. The Bank of China did not want exposure to the volatile western markets.

I am afraid, Ivo, that we are too far gone to resist the forces at work. We need credit to survive - our house, our car, our holiday. As far as I am aware, Britain is in the process of doing away with cheques. Ultimately there will be no physical cash - when that happens, it will be a sorry state of affairs for everyone. The means to control your actions will have been multiplied ten thousand fold.

"I don't see this happening without another, even bigger, global financial collapse. (I'd hoped the last one would do the trick.)"

Your wish is the global bubble blower's command, Ivo. The last implosion was just the first act!
Benny, the 1st Act was in 1929...